Polymarket Trader Turned Elon Musk's Twitter Habit Into a $118,000 Income Stream

A Snapchat story meant for 47 close friends accidentally exposed one of the strangest and most consistently profitable strategies on Polymarket: betting on how many times Elon Musk tweets in a week.

Someone posted their Polymarket winnings to Snapchat close friends last week, casually mentioning they had just made $19,000. One of those 47 people took a screenshot and posted it to Twitter. Within six hours it had 340,000 views. The wallet address was visible in the corner of the original image, and what it revealed stopped people mid-scroll.

The trader, tracked under the username Prexpect, had made $118,754 in profit across 1,943 predictions since joining Polymarket in November 2024. Every single bet was on the same market: how many times will Elon Musk tweet this week.

Personally, my Bitget portfolio only went up 5% so far trading Gold since the trumps war started but this guy found an edge in what his doing... Every Monday, Polymarket opens markets asking whether Musk will post between 400 and 419 tweets in a week, 420 and 439, and so on. At market open, liquidity is thin and prices sit at one to two cents. This trader is already there, buying positions across multiple ranges before anyone else enters.

The Snapchat post was deleted within an hour. The account was privated. It made no difference. The trader has continued placing bets as though nothing happened.