I couldn't find good data on Iran's Bitcoin toll at Hormuz so I built a dashboard to track it

⚠ Note: This is a public data model/estimator, not a blockchain tracker. All BTC figures are calculated from public sources (AIS vessel data, EIA oil statistics, reported toll rates from Bloomberg/FT/TRM Labs). No actual IRGC wallet addresses are tracked. Full methodology: [methodology tab on the dashboard]

been following the hormuz situation and kept seeing claims about iran collecting btc from oil tankers.. couldn't find any solid numbers so i just built something to estimate it

https://straitwatch.lovable.app

what it shows right now:

• 182 vessels tracked in the region
• estimated ~₿475/day collected via the toll — based on AIS vessel data and bloomberg/ft reporting, not actual blockchain data
• 5 OFAC sanctioned ships active in the corridor
• war premium model sitting at $9.88/barrel = roughly $170M/day extra cost globally

in 12 days since april 1 the model estimates ₿4,530 accumulated.. that's equivalent to 10 days of global bitcoin mining output without running a single miner

what's actually interesting to me isn't the btc amount.. it's that this works completely outside swift, ofac, all of it. by the time any bank knows a transaction happened it's already settled

not claiming this is verified blockchain data — full methodology is in the dashboard. built it for transparency